is pennsylvania, a red or blue state 2020

Getting at the red mirage idea, if we dont get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its easy to see Trumps lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. In the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for Republican John McCain. The Red-Blue terminology was popularized in 2000. The reliably blue state in a presidential election was one of many flipped by President Donald Trump in his 2016 win. Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? In recent years the state government has moved from purple with a democratic governor and a republican legislature with a modest majority, to fire engine red. But also, the early voter turnout we're seeing has been - seems to have been a factor. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. By household income, Obama got a majority of households with less than $50,000 in annual income. Earlier this year, one election official said the rule could result in upwards of 100,000 mail-in ballots being thrown out. Blue States No. In the 2020 United States presidential election, Democratic nominee Joe Biden defeated President Trump by reclaiming Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania for his party. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. Sen. Cory Gardner is now the only. One smart PA Dem strategist told me he wanted Biden to get to 40% in the county. As the 2016 election cycle approached, the electoral map had become pretty predictable. The Blue States and the Red States are referred to as states of the U.S. whose voters predominantly choose either the Democratic Party (Blue) or Republican Party (Red) for Presidential and Senatorial Candidates. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. During Biden's final stop in the state yesterday at a drive-in rally in Pittsburgh, following his barnstorm of the state with his running mate Kamala Harris and their spouses, he said for the zillionth time that he doesn't want to banfracking. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. There are three classes of Senators; one is up for election every second year. The Democratic or Republican party of a particular state may have policies that departsometimes greatlyfrom those of the national party, sometimes causing that state to favor one party in state and local elections and the other in presidential elections. By Allan James Vestal, Andrew Briz, Annette Choi, Beatrice Jin, Andrew McGill and Lily Mihalik. Dec. 10, 2020. Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. This is still a substantial difference from the period 1960 to 1980 when every state, save for Arizona, voted for each party at least once. PTFCA Indoor State Championship by Don & Gayle Rich Feb 26, 2023 WATCH: Eighth Grader Sophia Rodriguez runs 9:43 3K Mar 3, 2023 Drew Griffith runs the third-fastest Mile in PA History Mar 1, 2023 VOA explains. Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. Which parts of Pennsylvania are red and blue -- or something in between? According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. China Hopes Recovery Dims Memories of Zero COVID Debacle, Industry Races to Diversify Away from China. Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%. [25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps. Purple haze Pa.: Why the Keystone State is always a presidential battleground. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai Both campaigns have armies of attorneys at the ready for PA and other states. We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. Pennsylvania is considered to be a perennial swing state, including in the 2020 presidential election. The presidential primary contests are usually decided before Pennsylvania holds its primary, which is on Tuesday, April 26, this year. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. Biden didn't flip any counties in Georgia. All three of those states were very close in both elections. Generally, the same held true for married versus single women, but a greater percentage of women overall voted for Obama than for McCain. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Trump wanted to drive more votes out of it; Biden wanted to cut his losses. The state's 20 electoral votes could be pivotal in the 2020 race. Are You with Someone Whos Been Cookin for Decades? We're not going to get a call out ofPennsylvania. Anita What do you want to know? Heres why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. Continue with Recommended Cookies. However, there are pros and cons to both classified and unclassified choropleth maps. POLITICO's Live 2016 Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. When a state is called a "red state", it means that it has traditionally voted in favor of Republican candidates. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. Per Holly's point, keep in mind Montgomery County is a giant, the third most populous county in the state. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. Here's why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. Election maps often use a two-class color scheme (red and blue), which results in a map that is easy to read but is very generalized. He served as governor from 2003 to 2011 and was also the mayor of Philadelphia. These states often had more regulations and higher taxes. I think it's the state to watch. Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. Polls close in 15 minutes inPennsylvania. MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse, Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. After flipping red as a key swing state for President Donald Trump in 2016, former Vice President Joe Biden claimed Wisconsin's electoral votes today in what is being called one of the most important elections of a lifetime.. Wisconsin was a battleground state in the 2020 presidential election, and its 10 electoral votes were highly sought after by both candidates due to Wisconsin's . [1] The feature proved to be so popular that, four years later, all three major television networks used colors to designate the states won by the presidential candidates, though not all using the same color scheme. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. Archie Tse, The New York Times graphics editor who made the choice when the Times published its first color presidential election map in 2000, provided a nonpolitical rationale for retaining the redRepublican link, explaining that "Both 'Republican' and 'red' start with the letter 'R. With the election year underway, we put together a state map that lays out the political landscape, based on February voter registration figures from the Pennsylvania Department of State. A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic But. In 1980, when John Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state. By this definition, Arizona and Georgia are still (slightly) red states R+7.6 and R+7.4, respectively. However, as inGeorgia, the majority of Biden's gains came from larger vote margins in counties that also voted Democratic in 2016. An even more detailed precinct-by-precinct breakdown demonstrates that in many cases, large cities voted for Obama, and their suburbs were divided. However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. [11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue. [7] The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials). [57], The scheme has found acceptance and implementation from the U.S. federal government as the Federal Election Commission report for the 2004 presidential election uses the red-Republican and blue-Democratic scheme for its electoral map. The colors red and blue are also featured on the United States flag. Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. [58], The choice of colors in this divide may appear counter-intuitive to non-American observers, as in most countries, red is associated with socialist, communist, or social democratic parties, while blue is associated with conservative parties. During Election Day in 2016, Democrats reported good turnout in Philadelphia, and Clinton actually pulled out almost as many raw votes out of Philly as Obama in 2012. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. If we do not know the outcome of the election tonight, is he cool, or does he try to claim victoryregardless? Sacrificing the Future to China for Bidens Green New Deal. Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. [59][60][61], "Red state" and "Blue state" redirect here. Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. In U.S. politics it's common to hear red states and blue states, but where did the expression come from? Robert Vanderbei at Princeton University made the first Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election. Biden rebuilt the "blue wall" and expanded the map Rust Belt states have been the base of Democrats' electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. In 2018, the governor's race was settled by just 55,000 votes. Biden's success could be attributed to many factors. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. [30] It attempts to represent the margin of victory in each county by coloring each with a shade between true blue and true red. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. Next is Alabama at No. This election cycle, according to Politico, the state is leaning slightly blue. 30,000+ mail ballots a teeny tiny fraction of the 2.5 million received as of this morning in the state were just reported in Pennsylvania. [37][38] Nearly half of U.S. voters resided in counties that voted for George W. Bush or John Kerry by 20 percentage points or more in 2004. Election results provided by the Associated Press. . He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. Neither party national committee has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. [15][16][17] NBC used the color blue for the incumbent party, which is why blue represented the Democrats in 2000. Vertical lines before 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 show Census-related redistricting breakpoints. The cartographer must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into those classes. polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. [3][4] However, the perception of some states as "blue" and some as "red" was reinforced by a degree of partisan stability from election to election from the 2000 election to the 2004 election, only three states changed "color"; and as of 2020, 35 out of 50 states have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000, with only 15 having swung between the 2000 and 2020 election. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. A new, lower flat income tax rate will take effect in 2023. List Of Blue States And Red States No. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove. [18], Thus, red and blue became fixed in the media and in many people's minds, despite the fact that the Democratic and Republican parties had not officially chosen colors. Similarly, at least one network would have used yellow to indicate a state won by Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996, though neither of them did claim any states in any of these years. [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. Texas was the biggest winner the second-most populous state added two congressional seats, while Florida and North Carolina gained one. An example of data being processed may be a unique identifier stored in a cookie. What I want to know is the number out of Philly -- what margin is Joe Biden taking out of the state's largest city? Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. Data: Wikipedia through 2018; 270toWin research. Trump's lone breakthrough in the "blue wall" in 2020 was the one electoral vote from Maine, which he again won. And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. Georgia: Red, blue or purple? The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. Trump:61,386 (60.51%) We identify swing states as. Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. Various editorials[43][44] have proposed that states of the U.S. secede and then form federations only with states that have voted for the same political party. Special elections, if any, are excluded. To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both. We and our partners use cookies to Store and/or access information on a device. Iapologize.). McCain got a slight majority (52% to 47%) of households consisting of married couples; Obama led almost 21 (65% to 33%) among unmarried voters. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. Not one! The "Democratic blue" and "Republican red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. And then, like Anita, I am watching to see how POTUS reacts. But maps that color entire counties red or blue can dupe viewers: they make both states . President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. Which ones are more politically competitive? That solved the problem. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. The 2020 election has caused anxiety among Americans to remain high as some states are still counting ballots. Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something bigelsewhere. Three Michigan counties flipped from red to blue. The state went to Trump in 2016, but this time around, it flipped to Biden by a narrow margin. Update: Philadelphia officials tell me they will report more mail-in ballot results betweenmidnight and 1 a.m. Gov. '"[20], There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]. Live results and analysis from the Jan. 5 Senaterunoffs, White House Correspondent & Associate Editor. Latino voters in the state, like those across the U.S., constitute a solid base for Democrats. The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. After all, it's only at the center of the political universetonight. Is Missouri a red state? [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority always gets a sizable vote. However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. With the exception of Maricopa County (Phoenix), Trump won all the Arizona counties that voted for him in 2016 by even greater margins in 2020. Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). Same for GA senate races Charlie. Likewise, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Hawaii all voted for Democrat Kerry by wide margins, but all had Republican governors at the time. While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate. ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. Seven months into the coronavirus crisis, the states with the most severe unemployment in the country all seem to have one thing in common: They vote blue. The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. The key swing region is the. Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that vote strongly Democratic in presidential elections, such as Massachusetts, Illinois, Maryland, Vermont, and New Jersey. Same caution about borders applies. Holly Trump's team really focused on Biden's fracking comments for the last couple weeks, convinced that they could make all the difference in Pennsylvania. The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. Here's the count: 2020: Related: List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies. All 50 States of the United States of America contain both Democratic and Republican voters but only Blue or Red colors appear on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. So how does all that look visually? But look, this is what PA elected officials told us could happen for months. This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. Not one! The look of a map can vary significantly depending on the classification choices. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. because red and blue state designations . In fact, he said, some states may experience a "red shift," and even Pennsylvania's blue shift may change in the future as different voters adapt to the new absentee ballot system and counties that used to process them on election night stop doing so. Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? Which are solidly blue counties and red counties? [47][48][49] A different poll that same year grouped the United States into five geographic regions, and found that 37% of Americans favored secession of their own region. Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. [41][note 1][42]. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. "There is nothing inherently blue or red about this, by law or by design," Foley said. Each state has one Senator in two of the three classes. In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. Since a 25-25 tie following the 1992 elections, Republicans have held the Senate in every subsequent election, their power peaking after 2016 with a 34-16 supermajority. Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. The state has 20 electoral votes at stake in the presidential race. Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. Trump:70,760 (61.01%) Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. Red States 1 Arizona 1 Alabama 2 California 2 Red states vs. blue states. Also, theres a run off in Georgia so you may have two strikes incorrect. [19] Some Republicans argue the GOP should retain its historic association with blue, since most center-right parties worldwide are associated with blue. This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. Tennessee. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Will Israel Strike Before Iran Buys Russian S-400 Air Defense Systems. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. Political polarization in the United States, popular vote majority by a double-digit margin, did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote, Political ideologies in the United States, "When red meant Democratic and blue was Republican. Regarding national politics, it is historically a "Red" state although in recent national elections it has gone"blue".